It Doesn’t Matter If Iran is a Rational Actor

“”With the loss of Saudi Arabia as a viable partner in blocking the spread of Iranian power, the Trump Administration would be forced to revisit the oft-repeated notion that Iran is a rational actor. President Trump would have to renege on his campaign promise of ending the terrible Obama era Iran deal. He would have to reverse course and effectively reinstitute the Obama deal with Iran, in order to gain new leverage over Tehran. In other words, Trump would have to surrender the Middle East to Iran, selling out Israel in the process, just as Barack Obama did.”

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Countering Jihadi Swarm Tactics in the Sahel

“Widely spread in the Sahelian zone because of its affordability and the mobility it provides motorists, motorcycles have become an element of social prestige for the youth. However, their use has been inordinately diverted for criminal purposes, thus leading to an increase of motorcycle attacks in the region. Facing this danger, should we hinder these motorcycles or counter them by creating even more mobile vehicles for law enforcement and military uses?”

How to Lose Wars and Infuriate People

“Unless American leaders begin accepting limits on what pure military force can achieve (without becoming doves), and more fundamentally, inherent limitations on their power to conduct war, then a sound strategy will never be crafted in war. Rather, we will continue to “do stuff.” Action will be conflated with accomplishment. And, threats will never be mitigated. Instead, they will simply multiply–even as we increase our expenditures and commitments to the conflict.”

Is Europe Experiencing Immigration–or an Invasion?

“What Europe is experiencing today is no different than what previous generations experienced when genuinely foreign peoples—carrying alien ideas and beliefs—marched into Europe and attempted to colonize those lands. The Romans experienced it. The Spanish experienced it when the Moors invaded from Africa. So, too, did the Byzantines, when the Ottomans took Constantinople and defeated the Byzantine Empire.”

Only the Gulf States Can Offer a Solution to the Refugee Crisis (Which They Won’t)

“At a time when Saudi Arabia in particular is seeking to create a grand regional alliance to counter the rising Iranian hegemony, taking an open-handed approach to the refugee crisis being kicked up by Saudi Arabia and Iran’s regional proxy wars is one, sure way to win a major soft power victory in that ongoing struggle. It should also be America’s price of admission for dealing with this alliance: if the Sunni Arab states want American backing for this endeavor against Iran, these states must accept the lion’s share of Muslims fleeing the region’s various civil conflicts.”

U.S.-Russia Counterterrorism Ties On the Mend; Western Media Doesn’t Notice

“Don’t listen to the Western press or the Left: Trump’s move just saved us. The administration now needs to build on this and work toward bringing Russia back to the Western camp, to help us stand opposed to not only Islamic extremism, but to form a united front against rising China, a country that threatens Russia even more than it does the United States. The United States and Russia will never see eye-to-eye on every issue. But, we can work to ensure that our differences are mitigated as we are linked together by a larger degree of shared interests. What’s more, together, the two greatest nuclear, Christian powers can–and must–defeat our shared enemies.”

The Next Almost War: Iran

“I’d say buy oil stocks now because in the next several months, things are likely to ratchet up in the Middle East. If the Qatari imbroglio is resolved in Saudi Arabia’s favor (it is likely to, especially now that Qatar is reaching out to Israel), then it is quite likely that the Trump Administration will abrogate the former Obama Administration’s nuclear agreement with Iran. Once that happens, it will only be a matter of time before there is greater regional conflict.”

LECTURE: Does Europe Need Nukes? 25 September 2017

On 25 September 2017, Brandon J. Weichert will address the Institute of World Politics in Washington, D.C. over whether or not European countries, such as Germany and Poland, should develop nuclear arms.