“For the first time in decades, the United States is competing against a rival whom, in many respects, it has fallen behind. First, American leaders must fully acknowledge the threat. Then the U.S. must move to do what the Spanish failed to do to the rising United States: challenge it early enough to head off any real threat.”
“Japan is America’s ace-in-the-hole when it comes to China. The United States should encourage Japan to take greater levels of active defense of their homeland, and to become a normal country with a military force again. After all, Japan’s military and not China’s is the most advanced and capable military in the Asia-Pacific today. Fully normalizing their country’s armed forces could solidify this fundamental truth and put the Chinese back on their heels, buying America much-needed time to solidify its own global dominance, and to keep China back.”
“Otherwise, in a few short years, the United States might wake up to a surprise attack more devastating than Pearl Harbor over Taiwan–and the United States just might lose such an engagement. Whoever wins, the resulting conflict would be costly and devastating on an order not experienced since the Second World War.”
“As I’ve argued repeatedly on Capitol Hill and at the Institute of World Politics in Washington, D.C.: there’s no going back to the “way things were” since the end of the Cold War. We are in a new era where the Westphalian nation-state retains its primacy in global politics. American policymakers had better start preparing for that day when the EU and likely also NATO cease functioning. That day is coming sooner or later, as evidenced by the plight of Spain.”
“I’d say buy oil stocks now because in the next several months, things are likely to ratchet up in the Middle East. If the Qatari imbroglio is resolved in Saudi Arabia’s favor (it is likely to, especially now that Qatar is reaching out to Israel), then it is quite likely that the Trump Administration will abrogate the former Obama Administration’s nuclear agreement with Iran. Once that happens, it will only be a matter of time before there is greater regional conflict.”
On 25 September 2017, Brandon J. Weichert will address the Institute of World Politics in Washington, D.C. over whether or not European countries, such as Germany and Poland, should develop nuclear arms.
“China and the United States are on the long road to strategic competition, saddling up to China will not make Russia a great player on the world stage; it will make Russia just another tributary state in the growing Neo-Chinese Empire. Instead, Russia should seek to embrace the West, in order to better defend against their restless Chinese neighbors.”
“The prospect of a future coup remains unlikely for as long as Erdogan remains in office. Barring a democratic loss in 2019, it would be reasonable to say that Erdogan has become a de facto Sultan who survived an onslaught of his former Janissaries.”
Most Western analysts are incorrect in their view on Russian foreign policy intentions. Very often, they focus solely on Russia’s western side and completely ignore Russia’s Far East. This backgrounder seeks to change that. After all, Russia without its Far East is not Russia. It is Muscovy. And that’s not a country, it’s an existential target.