“Make no mistake: China will not leave Taiwan alone to its own devices. What’s more, the Chinese believe they have a decades-long historical record of American actions supporting Taiwan when faced against a potential Chinese military threat. China has made it their mission to reacquire Taiwan—sooner rather than later. Given America’s previous support for Taiwanese independence, Washington had better be prepared to withstand Chinese attacks against U.S.”
“Once the President returns home from his trip, the American naval forces will return to their normal operations, and the North Koreans will lie low for the next handful of months until they are confident in their ability to threaten the United States with nuclear weapons. Once that happens, all bets will be off. If I were making predictions, I’d say to be focused more on Iran in the medium-term and less on North Korea at this point.”
“Otherwise, in a few short years, the United States might wake up to a surprise attack more devastating than Pearl Harbor over Taiwan–and the United States just might lose such an engagement. Whoever wins, the resulting conflict would be costly and devastating on an order not experienced since the Second World War.”
The recent United Nations Convention of the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) ruling that China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea are categorically illegal will not bring much-needed stability to the Asia-Pacific. Indeed, this ruling will lead to still more instability. Read more to find out why.