The U.S. does not have the force posture capable of resisting a Russian invasion of eastern Ukraine. Putin knows this. As such, he will test President Trump early in his administration. Trump will likely make a deal with Putin in the near-term for concessions here. But, I suspect, once President Trump completes his military expansion and force modernization, he will begin fully resisting Russian aggression. Time and resolve, therefore, is the best answer to Russian revanchism.
This is a thought exercise as to how the U.S. can defeat Russia militarily: it lies in Russia’s weakened Far East, not in Europe.
Many in the West have trouble understanding Vladimir Putin. Part of the problem is that Mr. Putin’s background is murky. Yet, I believe that if one wants to have a window into his worldview, one should look to former KGB head and Soviet Premier Yuri Andropov. Both Andropov and Putin are more similar than many realize and that should worry us.