No Going to War With Russia Over Ukraine

“Washington cannot lose its head on this matter. This isn’t Hitler marching into Poland in 1939. This is more akin to the Agadir Crisis in 1911. The Agadir Crisis was an outgrowth of German and French competition for greater influence in Morocco. The crisis was ultimately settled by slow negotiations which ratcheted down tensions. Of course, this event was one of those moments in history which set the proverbial stage for a far nastier event—the First World War—but the Agadir Crisis itself was small and ameliorated with shrewd diplomacy between the affected powers.”

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America Became a Battlefield in the Russo-Ukraine War in 2016

“It’s time to face the fact that the United States has become the battleground for a ridiculous proxy war between two cousins, Ukraine and Russia. It’s no different than how the United States was the victim of an internal blood feud within Islam on September 11, 2001.”

Trump Will Need to Combat Russia’s Coming Test of His Leadership With Time & Resolve

The U.S. does not have the force posture capable of resisting a Russian invasion of eastern Ukraine. Putin knows this. As such, he will test President Trump early in his administration. Trump will likely make a deal with Putin in the near-term for concessions here. But, I suspect, once President Trump completes his military expansion and force modernization, he will begin fully resisting Russian aggression. Time and resolve, therefore, is the best answer to Russian revanchism.