Here’s What Happens if Kim Doesn’t Make a Deal with Trump

“There is no way for Kim to win any other course of action aside from negotiating in good faith; adhering to Trump’s demands for de-nuclearization; and accept Trump’s offer of economic and political assistance.”

Musings in Singapore

“Whatever evil the Kim regime has committed, it wants to be accepted as it is by the international community. Trump meeting Kim face-to-face in Singapore, and giving him the grace (yes, that is the right word) of being seen as an equal just might pull him back from totally embracing the manic side of North Korean ideology.”

America’s North Korea Strategy is a Disaster

“Whereas before I was keenly hopeful for these pending talks. I am now anything but. You should be too. It is probable, as Angelo Codevilla argued, that Trump is falling for the great diplomatic trap that North Korea has set for him–and we are all going to pay the price for it.”

Trump Offers South Korea a Backbone

“Trump is ensuring that the United States, South Korea, and Japan get a real deal from Kim Jong-un rather than just another summit that improves Pyongyang’s position and weakens everyone else’s. By pulling out of the talks earlier this week, Trump is forcing his allies to get in line, and is increasing his leverage in the forthcoming talks—which, we can safely assume will happen at some point this year.”

How Trump Can Avoid Being Played by North Korea

“Trump could go down in history as the president who made the greatest peace deal in the last two or three decades. On the other hand, it may be that we have just ensured the arrival of a nuclear-armed North Korea—and a major war thereafter. Even if the president does manage to get a deal with North Korea, this will merely anticipate a larger reduction of American influence in Asia at a time when the United States is attempting to challenge the rising Chinese regional hegemony.”

South Korea Falls for the Trap

“Be ready, friends: in the coming months and year the North will continue to walk softly until it believes it has separated the South from the United States fully (and/or until the Americans become distracted with something else). One way or the other, war is all but assured at this point, as it is unlikely that President Trump will favor the humiliation of America at the hands of either North Korea or China (or South Korea for that matter). The amount of military equipment and resources that have been deployed (and continue to be deployed) to South Korea indicate that the Trump administration is going to enforce de-nuclearization at all costs–even if it must go it alone.”

Kim Jong-un is Playing with His Prey (Us)

“Make no mistake, friends: Kim Jong-un is playing with us. The recent chaos in Hawaii is an unfortunate preview of what’s heading our way over the next two years. There is no deal that will deter North Korea from its single-minded mission of taking back the South at all costs. What is needed now is a clear-eyed understanding of this reality by the Trump Administration, and a willingness to begin preemptive attacks against North Korea before it’s too late.”

It’s A Trap! North Korea Wants Talks with South Korea to Buy Their Nuclear Program Time

“Whether it’s in 18 months or four years from now, the North is going to strike the South–and it won’t be a pinprick strike either. Kim Jong-un wants South Korea. It is a fundamental component of his regime’s existence. It cannot be removed from young Kim’s psyche until he settles the issue on his own. The course is set. There will be little deviation. Since, my initial hopes for a Manhattan-like Project that would deploy space-based missile defenses into orbit does not seem to be at hand, the Trump Administration must decide whether it can live in a world where the kooky Kim regime can permanently threaten the United States with nuclear retaliation or attack.”

Outlook: Trump’s North Korea Options Are Bad–But Choose He Must!

“The president’s options on North Korea are bad. However, the president must make a choice. This is the sad world we currently live in today. It’s a simple lose-lose calculation: do we lose little by dictating the course of conflict with preemptive strikes before North Korea gets fully functional ICBMs, or do we lose big by suffering a mass casualty attack and, potentially, being forced out of the Asia-Pacific entirely?”